Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Padova to win @ 2.80 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPadova to win ✗41% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Catanzaro vs Padova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Serie B brings Catanzaro against Padova at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Kick-off: 17:15 WAT. In the table, Catanzaro are 20th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Padova are 10th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Catanzaro, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Benevento, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Padova, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sudtirol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Padova, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Catanzaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catanzaro 1.3 xG, Padova 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catanzaro 36%, draw 23%, Padova 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Padova to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catanzaro36%fair 2.77 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Padova41%fair 2.43 · @2.80
2.78Expected goals
1.33Catanzaro xG
1.45Padova xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.3 – 1.4 Padova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Padova to win✗
41%
2.43
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Draw no bet
Padova (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Catanzaro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Padova to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Padova / FT Padova✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Catanzaro – last 6
DLDLLW
27 Oct
@ Benevento
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Ascoli
1–6
L
16 Oct
@ Hellas Verona
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Mantova
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Padova – last 6
WWLLLW
27 Oct
vs Sudtirol
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Avellino
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Virtus Entella
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Carrarese
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Palermo
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Ascoli
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Padova.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Padova 41%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Padova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Padova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Padova?
Catanzaro vs Padova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
