Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✗58% · @1.80
Double chanceModena or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Modena vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mantova travel to face Modena on Saturday 31 October in the Serie B, with Stadio Alberto Braglia the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Modena are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Mantova are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Modena, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vicenza Virtus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Mantova, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cremonese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modena 1.8 xG, Mantova 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 58%, draw 21%, Mantova 21%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Modena or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 1–0 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modena58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Mantova21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
2.78Expected goals
1.81Modena xG
0.97Mantova xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Modena 1.8 – 1.0 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Double chance
Modena or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Mantova +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Modena to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Modena – last 6
WWLWWD
27 Oct
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Cesena
3–0
W
17 Oct
@ Carrarese
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 6
LWLWDW
27 Oct
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Oct
vs Palermo
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Catanzaro
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Pisa
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Mantova.
Our pick is Modena or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Modena vs Mantova?
On our numbers Modena have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mantova 21%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Mantova?
Modena vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
