Muangthong United 62%Draw 25%Chiangmai United 14%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.77
86%
Betarazi pick
Muangthong United or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Muangthong United to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMuangthong United to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceMuangthong United or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.03
Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Thai League 2 brings Muangthong United against Chiangmai United at Thunderdome Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Muangthong United are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Chiangmai United are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muangthong United, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Satun, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Chiangmai United, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Khon Kaen United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muangthong United 1.8 xG, Chiangmai United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muangthong United 62%, draw 25%, Chiangmai United 14%.
Lower-risk option: Muangthong United or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Muangthong United to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muangthong United or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muangthong United 1–0 Chiangmai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muangthong United62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.70
Chiangmai United14%fair 7.31 · @3.70
2.61Expected goals
1.84Muangthong United xG
0.77Chiangmai United xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 1.8 – 0.8 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✓
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Muangthong United or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Muangthong United (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Muangthong United -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Muangthong United to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Muangthong United ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.03
–
Recent results
Muangthong United – last 6
LWDLDD
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 6
WWLLLL
15 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Esan Pattaya
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Rasi Salai United
1–2
L
21 Mar
@ Khon Kaen United
1–2
L
7 Mar
@ Esan Pattaya
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Muangthong United or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chiangmai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United?
Muangthong United vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Thunderdome Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
