Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓55% · @1.91
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the Thai League 2 brings Nong Bua Pitchaya against Satun at Pitchaya Stadium. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Satun are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Uttaradit, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Satun, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Muangthong United, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.3 xG, Satun 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nong Bua Pitchaya 55%, draw 26%, Satun 18%.
Lower-risk option: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 Satun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya55%fair 1.81 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Satun18%fair 5.49 · @3.40
3.67Expected goals
2.31Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
1.36Satun xG
64%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.3 – 1.4 Satun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Nong Bua Pitchaya (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Satun +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Nong Bua Pitchaya to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
DLWLWW
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Khon Kaen United
4–2
W
28 Mar
vs Police Tero
6–3
W
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Satun – last 3
WWL
15 Sep
vs Muangthong United
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Songkhla
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
2–4
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Satun.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Satun 18%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–1 Satun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Satun (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
