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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nakhon Pathom v Muangthong United: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium
1–0
FT
Nakhon Pathom 31%Draw 24%Muangthong United 45% Expected goals 0.69 – 0.94
52%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultMuangthong United to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.44

Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Nakhon Pathom v Muangthong United in the Thai League 2, played at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Muangthong United are 9th (upper half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Nakhon Pathom, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kasetsart FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Muangthong United, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Chiangmai United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 0.7 xG, Muangthong United 0.9 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 78%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 31%, draw 24%, Muangthong United 45%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 0–0 Muangthong United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nakhon Pathom31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Muangthong United45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
1.63Expected goals
0.69Nakhon Pathom xG
0.94Muangthong United xG
48%Both score
22%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–020%
0–118%
1–014%
1–113%
0–29%
1–26%

From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 0.7 – 0.9 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMuangthong United to win ✗45%2.232.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Draw no betMuangthong United (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapNakhon Pathom +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreMuangthong United to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.44–

Recent results

Nakhon Pathom – last 6

DDDDLW
20 Sep@ Kasetsart FC0–0D
16 Sepvs Kanchanaburi1–1D
13 Sep@ Phrae United0–0D
5 Sepvs Nakhon Ratchasima FC2–2D
19 Aprvs Bangkok0–3L
4 Apr@ Mahasarakham United2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Muangthong United – last 6

WLWDLD
19 Sepvs Chiangmai United1–0W
15 Sep@ Satun0–3L
12 Sepvs Nong Bua Pitchaya2–1W
4 Sep@ Uttaradit0–0D
10 May@ Sukhothai FC0–3L
1 Mayvs BG Pathum United1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nakhon Pathom and Muangthong United.

Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Muangthong United 45%.

How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 0–0 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United?

Nakhon Pathom vs Muangthong United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.