Value bet: Muang Loei United to win @ 2.38 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMuang Loei United to win ✗47% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.77
Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muang Loei United welcome Esan Pattaya to Ruamjai Stadium Loei Rajabhat University for a Thai League 2 fixture on Saturday 10 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Muang Loei United are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Esan Pattaya are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muang Loei United, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Songkhla, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Esan Pattaya, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Phrae United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Muang Loei United, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Esan Pattaya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muang Loei United 1.1 xG, Esan Pattaya 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muang Loei United 47%, draw 25%, Esan Pattaya 28%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Muang Loei United to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muang Loei United 1–1 Esan Pattaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muang Loei United47%fair 2.12 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Esan Pattaya28%fair 3.55 · @2.88
1.88Expected goals
1.12Muang Loei United xG
0.76Esan Pattaya xG
52%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Muang Loei United 1.1 – 0.8 Esan Pattaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muang Loei United to win✗
47%
2.12
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Draw no bet
Muang Loei United (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Esan Pattaya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Muang Loei United to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muang Loei United / FT Muang Loei United✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.77
–
Recent results
Muang Loei United – last 4
DWWL
20 Sep
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Phrae United
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chainat
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Police Tero
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Esan Pattaya – last 6
LDLWDD
20 Sep
vs Phrae United
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Chainat
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Police Tero
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Chiangmai United
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Sisaket United
3–3
D
5 Apr
@ Phrae United
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muang Loei United and Esan Pattaya.
What is the prediction for Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
On our numbers Muang Loei United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Esan Pattaya 28%.
How many goals will there be in Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Our predicted score is Muang Loei United 1–1 Esan Pattaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya?
Muang Loei United vs Esan Pattaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ruamjai Stadium Loei Rajabhat University.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.