Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the Thai League 2 brings Nong Bua Pitchaya against Chiangmai United at Pitchaya Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Chiangmai United are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chanthaburi, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chiangmai United, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kasetsart FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.8 xG, Chiangmai United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nong Bua Pitchaya 60%, draw 23%, Chiangmai United 18%.
Lower-risk option: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–0 Chiangmai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya60%fair 1.67 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Chiangmai United18%fair 5.67 · @3.80
2.70Expected goals
1.82Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
0.88Chiangmai United xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.8 – 0.9 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Draw no bet
Nong Bua Pitchaya (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Chiangmai United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Nong Bua Pitchaya to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.21
–
Recent results
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
DWDLWL
11 Oct
@ Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 6
WLWWLL
10 Oct
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Muangthong United
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Esan Pattaya
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Rasi Salai United
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chiangmai United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
