Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultChanthaburi to win ✓62% · @1.83
Double chanceChanthaburi or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.20
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the Thai League 2 brings Chanthaburi against Nakhon Pathom at Chanthaburi Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Chanthaburi are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nakhon Pathom are 8th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Chanthaburi, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nong Bua Pitchaya, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nakhon Pathom, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Muangthong United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chanthaburi 1.3 xG, Nakhon Pathom 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chanthaburi 62%, draw 25%, Nakhon Pathom 13%.
Lower-risk option: Chanthaburi or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chanthaburi to win (62%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chanthaburi 1–0 Nakhon Pathom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chanthaburi62%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Nakhon Pathom13%fair 7.63 · @4.33
1.70Expected goals
1.30Chanthaburi xG
0.40Nakhon Pathom xG
45%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–024%
0–018%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Chanthaburi 1.3 – 0.4 Nakhon Pathom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chanthaburi to win✓
62%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Chanthaburi or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Draw no bet
Chanthaburi (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Nakhon Pathom +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Chanthaburi to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chanthaburi / FT Chanthaburi✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.20
–
Recent results
Chanthaburi – last 6
DLWDLD
11 Oct
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Uttaradit
3–4
L
17 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nakhon Pathom – last 6
WDDDDL
10 Oct
vs Muangthong United
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Kasetsart FC
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Phrae United
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Bangkok
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chanthaburi and Nakhon Pathom.
What is the prediction for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our pick is Chanthaburi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
On our numbers Chanthaburi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nakhon Pathom 13%.
How many goals will there be in Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Our predicted score is Chanthaburi 1–0 Nakhon Pathom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom?
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom (Thai League 2) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Chanthaburi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
