Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Nassr travel to face Al Riyadh on Friday 21 August in the Pro League, with Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Al Riyadh are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Al-Nassr are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Riyadh, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Zulfi, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Al Diriyah, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Al Riyadh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Riyadh 1.2 xG, Al-Nassr 2.8 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riyadh 12%, draw 19%, Al-Nassr 68%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Riyadh12%fair 8.21 · @10.75
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @5.80
Al-Nassr68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
4.09Expected goals
1.25Al Riyadh xG
2.84Al-Nassr xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.2 – 2.8 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Al Riyadh – last 6
WLWLLL
17 Aug
@ Al Zulfi
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
2–4
L
21 May
vs Al Okhdood
1–0
W
4 May
@ Al-Fayha
2–4
L
29 Apr
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Al-Hazm
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWLLWD
18 Aug
@ Al Diriyah
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
4 Aug
vs Almeria
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Riyadh and Al-Nassr.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al-Nassr 68%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
