Value bet: Al-Hazm to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.47
Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Hazm welcome Al Diriyah to Al-Hazem Club Stadium for a Pro League fixture on Friday 21 August (17:15 WAT). In the table, Al-Hazm are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Al Diriyah are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Al-Hazm, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Al Bukayriyah, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Diriyah, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Al-Nassr, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Hazm 1.1 xG, Al Diriyah 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Hazm 33%, draw 21%, Al Diriyah 46%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Al-Hazm to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.48 – longer than our fair 1.42, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Diriyah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Hazm33%fair 3.02 · @3.45
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.55
Al Diriyah46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.10Al-Hazm xG
1.37Al Diriyah xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Al-Hazm 1.1 – 1.4 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✓
46%
2.19
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Draw no bet
Al Diriyah (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Al-Hazm +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.18
First team to score
Al Diriyah to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
Al-Hazm – last 6
WWWLDW
16 Aug
@ Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
13 Aug
@ Abha
2–1
W
21 May
vs Al Taawon
2–0
W
14 May
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ NEOM
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Riyadh
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Diriyah – last 6
LLWWWW
18 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
1–4
L
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs FA 2000
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Trelleborg
4–1
W
18 May
vs Al Jabalain
3–0
W
14 May
vs Al Bukayriyah
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hazm and Al Diriyah.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
On our numbers Al-Hazm have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Diriyah 46%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
Our predicted score is Al-Hazm 1–1 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Al-Hazem Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
