Al Riyadh 23%Draw 20%NEOM 57%Expected goals 1.26 – 2.09
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: NEOM to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Al Riyadh vs NEOM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:50 WAT, Friday 28 August: Al Riyadh v NEOM in the Pro League, played at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium. In the table, Al Riyadh are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; NEOM are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Al Riyadh, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Al Shabab, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
NEOM, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al-Qadisiyah FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours NEOM, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Al Riyadh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Riyadh 1.3 xG, NEOM 2.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riyadh 23%, draw 20%, NEOM 57%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: NEOM to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riyadh 1–2 NEOM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Riyadh23%fair 4.38 · @3.55
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.60
NEOM57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
3.35Expected goals
1.26Al Riyadh xG
2.09NEOM xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.3 – 2.1 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
NEOM (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Al Riyadh +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.15
First team to score
NEOM to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
NEOM ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Al Riyadh – last 6
DLWLWL
25 Aug
@ Al Shabab
3–3
D
21 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
0–4
L
17 Aug
@ Al Zulfi
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
2–4
L
21 May
vs Al Okhdood
1–0
W
4 May
@ Al-Fayha
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEOM – last 6
LWWWWW
24 Aug
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
14 Aug
vs Al-Fayha
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Las Palmas
1–0
W
24 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Riyadh and NEOM.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and NEOM 57%.
How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 1–2 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
Al Riyadh vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:50 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
