Value bet: Abha to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Fayha to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Al-Fayha vs Abha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Pro League brings Al-Fayha against Abha at Al Majma'ah Sport City. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Fayha are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Abha are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Al-Fayha, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Taawon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Abha, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Khaleej Saihat, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fayha 1.4 xG, Abha 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fayha 44%, draw 23%, Abha 34%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Abha to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fayha 1–1 Abha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fayha44%fair 2.28 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.35
Abha34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
2.49Expected goals
1.35Al-Fayha xG
1.14Abha xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Al-Fayha 1.4 – 1.1 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Fayha to win✓
44%
2.28
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Al-Fayha (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Abha +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Al-Fayha to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Fayha / FT Al-Fayha✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Al-Fayha – last 6
DLWLLD
25 Aug
@ Al Taawon
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–3
L
17 Aug
@ Al-Adalah
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ NEOM
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Den Bosch
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
DLDLDL
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Al Orubah
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Rizespor
0–0
D
13 May
@ Al-Raed
1–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fayha and Abha.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Fayha vs Abha?
On our numbers Al-Fayha have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Abha 34%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fayha vs Abha?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fayha vs Abha?
Our predicted score is Al-Fayha 1–1 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Fayha vs Abha?
Al-Fayha vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Majma'ah Sport City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
