Value bet: Al Diriyah to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.42
Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 9 September the Pro League brings Al-Fateh against Al Diriyah at Al Fateh club stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Fateh are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Al Diriyah are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Al-Fateh, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Taawon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Al Diriyah, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al-Qadisiyah FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Diriyah, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Al-Fateh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fateh 0.7 xG, Al Diriyah 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fateh 21%, draw 16%, Al Diriyah 63%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Al Diriyah to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fateh 0–1 Al Diriyah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fateh21%fair 4.67 · @3.65
Draw16%fair 6.34 · @3.70
Al Diriyah63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
2.22Expected goals
0.68Al-Fateh xG
1.54Al Diriyah xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–213%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Al-Fateh 0.7 – 1.5 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✓
63%
1.59
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Draw no bet
Al Diriyah (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Al-Fateh +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.45 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.17
First team to score
Al Diriyah to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Al-Fateh – last 6
DDDLLL
5 Sep
@ Al Taawon
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Al Ula
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Diriyah – last 6
LWDWLL
3 Sep
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–0
W
26 Aug
vs Al Kholood
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Al-Hazm
1–0
W
18 Aug
vs Al-Nassr
1–4
L
13 Aug
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah.
What is the prediction for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al Diriyah 63%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 0–1 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al Fateh club stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
