19:00 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Al-Nassr v Abha in the Pro League, played at King Saud University Stadium. In the table, Al-Nassr are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Abha are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Ittihad FC, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Abha, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Ettifaq, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Abha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 2.7 xG, Abha 0.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 76%, draw 17%, Abha 7%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 3–0 Abha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr76%fair 1.32 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.99 · @6.75
Abha7%fair 13.49 · @14.00
3.52Expected goals
2.70Al-Nassr xG
0.81Abha xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.7 – 0.8 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
LWWWWW
5 Sep
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Al Taawon
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–2
W
21 Aug
@ Al Riyadh
4–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al Diriyah
4–1
W
15 Aug
vs Al-Fateh
3–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
LLDLDL
4 Sep
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Al-Fayha
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Al Orubah
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Abha.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Abha?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Abha 7%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Abha?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Abha?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 3–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Abha?
Al-Nassr vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Saud University Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
