Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fateh welcome Al-Ahli Jeddah to Maydan Tamweel Al Oula for a Pro League fixture on Friday 9 October (15:55 WAT). In the table, Al-Fateh are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th (upper half) with 21. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Fateh, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to NEOM, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mamelodi Sundowns, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Ahli Jeddah, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Al-Fateh.
Head to head
When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 Al-Fateh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fateh 0.8 xG, Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fateh 12%, draw 18%, Al-Ahli Jeddah 69%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fateh 0–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Fateh12%fair 8.14 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.40
Al-Ahli Jeddah69%fair 1.44 · @1.40
2.93Expected goals
0.77Al-Fateh xG
2.16Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al-Fateh 0.8 – 2.2 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 69%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 0–2 Al-Ahli Jeddah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 15:55 (West Africa Time) at Maydan Tamweel Al Oula.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
