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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Nassr v Al Diriyah: numbers & prediction

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Al-Awwal Park
3–0
FT
Al-Nassr 65%Draw 22%Al Diriyah 13% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.68
65%
Betarazi pick

Al-Nassr to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.70

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al-Nassr welcome Al Diriyah to Al-Awwal Park for a Pro League fixture on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Nassr are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Al Diriyah are 8th (upper half) with 15. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Al-Nassr, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al Ain, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Al Diriyah, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Abha, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Aug 2026) it ended Al Diriyah 1–4 Al-Nassr.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 1.8 xG, Al Diriyah 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 65%, draw 22%, Al Diriyah 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al-Nassr to win (65%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 1–0 Al Diriyah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Nassr65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.75
Al Diriyah13%fair 7.52 · @5.50
2.50Expected goals
1.82Al-Nassr xG
0.68Al Diriyah xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Al-Nassr 1.8 – 0.7 Al Diriyah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Nassr to win ✓65%1.551.36
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87%1.15–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.81–
Draw no betAl-Nassr (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapAl-Nassr -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAl-Nassr to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultAl-Nassr ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.70–

Recent results

Al-Nassr – last 6

LDWLWW
15 Sep@ Al Ain0–4L
12 Sep@ Al Khaleej Saihat1–1D
9 Sepvs Abha2–1W
5 Sep@ Al-Ittihad FC1–2L
28 Augvs Al Taawon2–1W
25 Aug@ Al-Ettifaq3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Al Diriyah – last 6

DWLWDW
13 Sepvs Abha0–0D
9 Sep@ Al-Fateh2–1W
3 Sepvs Al-Qadisiyah FC0–2L
29 Aug@ Al-Ettifaq3–0W
26 Augvs Al Kholood1–1D
21 Aug@ Al-Hazm1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Aug 2026Al Diriyah v Al-Nassr1–4
Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah head-to-head page →

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

More Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Diriyah 13%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 1–0 Al Diriyah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.