Al Diriyah 60%Draw 22%Al Taawon 18%Expected goals 1.45 – 0.61
82%
Betarazi pick
Al Diriyah or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Al Diriyah to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Diriyah to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceAl Diriyah or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Pro League brings Al Diriyah against Al Taawon at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al Diriyah are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Al Taawon are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Al Diriyah, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al Taawon, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al-Rayyan SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Diriyah 1.5 xG, Al Taawon 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Diriyah 60%, draw 22%, Al Taawon 18%.
Lower-risk option: Al Diriyah or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Al Diriyah to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Diriyah or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.21, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Diriyah60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Al Taawon18%fair 5.68 · @3.60
2.06Expected goals
1.45Al Diriyah xG
0.61Al Taawon xG
55%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Diriyah 1.5 – 0.6 Al Taawon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Diriyah to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Al Diriyah or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Draw no bet
Al Diriyah (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Al Taawon +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Al Diriyah to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Diriyah / FT Al Diriyah✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Al Diriyah – last 6
LDWLWD
9 Oct
@ Al-Nassr
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Abha
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ Al-Fateh
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Al-Ettifaq
3–0
W
26 Aug
vs Al Kholood
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Taawon – last 6
WLDLLD
14 Oct
vs Al-Rayyan SC
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Al Shabab
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Al-Nahda
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–6
L
8 Sep
@ Al-Hazm
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Diriyah and Al Taawon.
What is the prediction for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Our pick is Al Diriyah or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
On our numbers Al Diriyah have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Taawon 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
