Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: NEOM to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:40 WAT, Saturday 17 October: NEOM v Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League, played at King Khalid Sports City. In the table, NEOM are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Al-Ettifaq are 7th (upper half) with 19. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
NEOM, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Ettifaq, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kazma, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours NEOM, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Al-Ettifaq.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEOM 2.0 xG, Al-Ettifaq 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEOM 64%, draw 21%, Al-Ettifaq 15%.
Lower-risk option: NEOM or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: NEOM to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NEOM or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEOM 1–0 Al-Ettifaq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEOM64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Al-Ettifaq15%fair 6.52 · @3.60
2.81Expected goals
1.97NEOM xG
0.84Al-Ettifaq xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: NEOM 2.0 – 0.8 Al-Ettifaq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is NEOM or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
On our numbers NEOM have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Ettifaq 15%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Al-Ettifaq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:40 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
