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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tigres UANL W v Puebla W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Universitario
8–0
FT
Tigres UANL W 86%Draw 9%Puebla W 4% Expected goals 3.96 – 0.90
83%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTigres UANL W to win ✓86% · @1.05
Double chanceTigres UANL W or draw ✓96% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.85

Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:06 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Tigres UANL W v Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Universitario. In the table, Tigres UANL W are 3rd, among the top four, on 35 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tigres UANL W, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Toluca W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Puebla W, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Pumas UNAM W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Tigres UANL W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Puebla W.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended Tigres UANL W 4–0 Puebla W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tigres UANL W 4.0 xG, Puebla W 0.9 xG – a total near 4.9. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tigres UANL W 86%, draw 9%, Puebla W 4%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tigres UANL W 3–0 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tigres UANL W86%fair 1.16 · @1.05
Draw9%fair 10.73 · @13.00
Puebla W4%fair 22.81 · @24.00
4.86Expected goals
3.96Tigres UANL W xG
0.90Puebla W xG
54%Both score
83%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–08%
4–08%
3–17%
4–17%
5–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Tigres UANL W 4.0 – 0.9 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tigres UANL WPuebla W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average+68%-17%
Goals conceded vs average-37%+54%
Our expected goals here4.500.85

Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres UANL W to win ✓86%1.161.05
Double chanceTigres UANL W or draw ✓96%1.051.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.862.25 ▲
Draw no betTigres UANL W (draw no bet) ✓95%1.05–
Asian handicapTigres UANL W -2 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.081.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83%1.211.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗51%1.941.67
First team to scoreTigres UANL W to score first ✓81%1.24–
Half-time resultTigres UANL W ahead at half-time ✓71%1.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W ✓68%1.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%13.85–

Recent results

Tigres UANL W – last 6

LLWDWL
4 Mayvs Toluca W1–2L
1 May@ Toluca W1–2L
25 Apr@ Monterrey W3–0W
6 Aprvs Guadalajara W2–2D
3 Apr@ Tijuana W2–0W
26 Marvs América W0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Puebla W – last 6

DDLLLL
5 Apr@ Pumas UNAM W2–2D
1 Aprvs Querétaro W0–0D
15 Marvs Juárez W0–2L
12 Mar@ Atlético San Luis W0–2L
22 Febvs Mazatlán W1–2L
14 Feb@ Tigres UANL W0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Tigres UANL W v Puebla W4–0
Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W?

On our numbers Tigres UANL W have a 86% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Puebla W 4%.

How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W?

We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W?

Our predicted score is Tigres UANL W 3–0 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.

When is Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W?

Tigres UANL W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.