Tijuana W 15%Draw 20%Monterrey W 65%Expected goals 1.02 – 2.61
85%
Betarazi pick
Monterrey W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Monterrey W to win @ 1.88 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓65% · @1.88
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.85
Tijuana W vs Monterrey W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 2 August the Liga MX Femenil brings Tijuana W against Monterrey W at Estadio Caliente. Kick-off: 04:10 WAT. In the table, Tijuana W are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; Monterrey W are 2nd (among the top four) with 37. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tijuana W, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mazatlán W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Monterrey W, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to América W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tijuana W 1.0 xG, Monterrey W 2.6 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tijuana W 15%, draw 20%, Monterrey W 65%.
Lower-risk option: Monterrey W or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Monterrey W to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Monterrey W or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tijuana W 1–2 Monterrey W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tijuana W15%fair 6.70 · @3.95
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Monterrey W65%fair 1.54 · @1.88
3.63Expected goals
1.02Tijuana W xG
2.61Monterrey W xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 1.0 – 2.6 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tijuana W
Monterrey W
Attack vs Liga MX Femenil average
-20%
+67%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-34%
Our expected goals here
0.98
3.35
Our own ratings from every Liga MX Femenil result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✓
65%
1.54
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Monterrey W or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Draw no bet
Monterrey W (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey W -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.11
First team to score
Monterrey W to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Tijuana W – last 6
WLDWWL
25 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monterrey W – last 6
LWWLWD
17 May
@ América W
0–3
L
15 May
vs América W
1–0
W
11 May
vs Pachuca W
4–1
W
8 May
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
3 May
vs Cruz Azul W
4–0
W
30 Apr
@ Cruz Azul W
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Monterrey W.
What is the prediction for Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Our pick is Monterrey W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monterrey W 65%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 1–2 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs Monterrey W?
Tijuana W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
