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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sao Jose v Gama: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto
1–1
FT

Gama

WLWLW
Sao Jose 27%Draw 31%Gama 42% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.25
73%
Betarazi pick

Gama or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGama to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceGama or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.87

Sao Jose vs Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gama travel to face Sao Jose on Saturday 8 August in the Serie D, with Francisco Novelletto Neto the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Sao Jose, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Treze, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Gama, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over America-RN, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gama, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Sao Jose.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sao Jose 0.9 xG, Gama 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Jose 27%, draw 31%, Gama 42%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gama or draw (73%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gama or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Jose 0–1 Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sao Jose27%fair 3.70 · @3.50
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.50
Gama42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.15Expected goals
0.90Sao Jose xG
1.25Gama xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%

From our goals model: Sao Jose 0.9 – 1.2 Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGama to win ✗42%2.362.20
Double chanceGama or draw ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.50
Draw no betGama (draw no bet)61%1.64–
Asian handicapSao Jose +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreGama to score first51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gama / FT Gama ✗26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.87–

Recent results

Sao Jose – last 6

LWDWDD
26 Jul@ Treze0–1L
18 Julvs Treze2–1W
12 Jul@ Portuguesa RJ0–0D
4 Julvs Portuguesa RJ1–0W
27 Jun@ Santa Catarina1–1D
21 Junvs Santa Catarina1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gama – last 6

WLWLWW
26 Julvs America-RN3–2W
19 Jul@ America-RN0–1L
12 Julvs Porto Velho2–0W
4 Jul@ Porto Velho0–2L
27 Junvs Mixto1–0W
20 Jun@ Mixto2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Gama.

Sao Jose vs Gama head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Gama?

Our pick is Gama or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sao Jose vs Gama?

On our numbers Sao Jose have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Gama 42%.

How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Gama?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Gama?

Our predicted score is Sao Jose 0–1 Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sao Jose vs Gama?

Sao Jose vs Gama (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.