Nacional AM vs ABC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ABC travel to face Nacional AM on Saturday 8 August in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Nacional AM, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iguatu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
ABC, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Luverdense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nacional AM 1.2 xG, ABC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nacional AM 40%, draw 30%, ABC 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nacional AM 1–1 ABC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nacional AM40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.62
ABC31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
2.25Expected goals
1.21Nacional AM xG
1.04ABC xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Nacional AM 1.2 – 1.0 ABC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nacional AM to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Nacional AM (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
ABC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Nacional AM to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.50
–
Recent results
Nacional AM – last 6
DDLWDW
25 Jul
@ Iguatu
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Iguatu
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Capital Brasilia
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Capital Brasilia
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Araguaína
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Araguaína
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
ABC – last 6
WDWLDW
26 Jul
vs Luverdense
4–1
W
18 Jul
@ Luverdense
0–0
D
12 Jul
vs Águia de Marabá
3–0
W
4 Jul
@ Águia de Marabá
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Altos
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Altos
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional AM and ABC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Nacional AM vs ABC?
On our numbers Nacional AM have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 30% and ABC 31%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs ABC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs ABC?
Our predicted score is Nacional AM 1–1 ABC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nacional AM vs ABC?
Nacional AM vs ABC (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Sao Jose1
Gama1
Uberlandia1
CSA0
Goiatuba EC0
ASA0