Wednesday 11 November 2026 8 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

ABC v Nacional AM: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

ABC

WWDWL
1–0
FT

Nacional AM

LDDLW
ABC 60%Draw 23%Nacional AM 17% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.66
60%
Betarazi pick

ABC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultABC to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceABC or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.82

ABC vs Nacional AM: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: ABC v Nacional AM in the Serie D.

Current form

ABC, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nacional AM, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Nacional AM, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to ABC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours ABC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Nacional AM.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Nacional AM 1–2 ABC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give ABC 1.5 xG, Nacional AM 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – ABC 60%, draw 23%, Nacional AM 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: ABC or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was ABC to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: ABC 1–0 Nacional AM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

ABC60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @2.80
Nacional AM17%fair 5.73 · @4.60
2.18Expected goals
1.52ABC xG
0.66Nacional AM xG
48%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: ABC 1.5 – 0.7 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultABC to win ✓60%1.681.80 ▲
Double chanceABC or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.50
Draw no betABC (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapNacional AM +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreABC to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT ABC / FT ABC ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%5.82–

Recent results

ABC – last 6

WWDWLD
8 Aug@ Nacional AM2–1W
26 Julvs Luverdense4–1W
18 Jul@ Luverdense0–0D
12 Julvs Águia de Marabá3–0W
4 Jul@ Águia de Marabá1–2L
28 Junvs Altos1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nacional AM – last 6

LDDLWD
8 Augvs ABC1–2L
25 Jul@ Iguatu1–1D
18 Julvs Iguatu1–1D
12 Jul@ Capital Brasilia0–1L
4 Julvs Capital Brasilia1–0W
28 Junvs Araguaína0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Nacional AM v ABC1–2
ABC vs Nacional AM head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Gama4 Sao Jose0 164%1.44X24%3.40212%6.50 1.6–0.6xG 1Gama to win 64%@1.44 ✓
FT ASA1 Goiatuba EC1 Pens 5–4 159%1.73X25%3.00216%4.75 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ABC vs Nacional AM?

Our pick is ABC to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win ABC vs Nacional AM?

On our numbers ABC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nacional AM 17%.

How many goals will there be in ABC vs Nacional AM?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ABC vs Nacional AM?

Our predicted score is ABC 1–0 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is ABC vs Nacional AM?

ABC vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.