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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gama v Sao Jose: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Gama

DWLWL
4–0
FT
Gama 64%Draw 24%Sao Jose 12% Expected goals 1.63 – 0.55
64%
Betarazi pick

Gama to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGama to win ✓64% · @1.44
Double chanceGama or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43

Gama vs Sao Jose: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sao Jose travel to face Gama on Sunday 16 August in the Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Gama, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Sao Jose, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gama, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Sao Jose 1–1 Gama.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gama 1.6 xG, Sao Jose 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gama 64%, draw 24%, Sao Jose 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gama to win (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gama 1–0 Sao Jose. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gama64%fair 1.57 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Sao Jose12%fair 8.26 · @6.50
2.18Expected goals
1.63Gama xG
0.55Sao Jose xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%

From our goals model: Gama 1.6 – 0.6 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGama to win ✓64%1.571.44
Double chanceGama or draw ✓88%1.141.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.50
Draw no betGama (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapGama -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreGama to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gama / FT Gama ✓39%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.43–

Recent results

Gama – last 6

DWLWLW
8 Aug@ Sao Jose1–1D
26 Julvs America-RN3–2W
19 Jul@ America-RN0–1L
12 Julvs Porto Velho2–0W
4 Jul@ Porto Velho0–2L
27 Junvs Mixto1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sao Jose – last 6

DLWDWD
8 Augvs Gama1–1D
26 Jul@ Treze0–1L
18 Julvs Treze2–1W
12 Jul@ Portuguesa RJ0–0D
4 Julvs Portuguesa RJ1–0W
27 Jun@ Santa Catarina1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026Sao Jose v Gama1–1
Gama vs Sao Jose head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gama vs Sao Jose?

Our pick is Gama to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gama vs Sao Jose?

On our numbers Gama have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sao Jose 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gama vs Sao Jose?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gama vs Sao Jose?

Our predicted score is Gama 1–0 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gama vs Sao Jose?

Gama vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.