Value bet: Anorthosis to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEL to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.57
AEL vs Anorthosis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Anorthosis travel to face AEL on Sunday 30 August in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, AEL are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Anorthosis are 11th (lower half) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AEL, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Krasava Odintsovo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Anorthosis, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Apoel Nicosia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Apr 2026) it ended AEL 0–1 Anorthosis.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 1.2 xG, Anorthosis 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 39%, draw 23%, Anorthosis 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Anorthosis to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 1–1 Anorthosis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.20
Anorthosis38%fair 2.64 · @3.40
2.42Expected goals
1.22AEL xG
1.19Anorthosis xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: AEL 1.2 – 1.2 Anorthosis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEL vs Anorthosis?
On our numbers AEL have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anorthosis 38%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Anorthosis?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Anorthosis?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Anorthosis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Anorthosis?
AEL vs Anorthosis (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
