Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPafos to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chancePafos or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Karmiotissa vs Pafos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pafos travel to face Karmiotissa on Sunday 30 August in the 1. Division, with Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Karmiotissa are 12th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Karmiotissa, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with PAEEK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Pafos, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dinamo Tirana, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Karmiotissa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Pafos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karmiotissa 0.8 xG, Pafos 2.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karmiotissa 9%, draw 21%, Pafos 69%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pafos to win (69%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karmiotissa 0–2 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karmiotissa9%fair 10.58 · @12.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.40
Pafos69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
3.20Expected goals
0.84Karmiotissa xG
2.36Pafos xG
56%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Karmiotissa 0.8 – 2.4 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✓
69%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Pafos -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
First team to score
Pafos to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Karmiotissa – last 6
DWWWLW
24 Apr
@ PAEEK
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Nea Salamis
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Ayia Napa
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs PAEEK
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Nea Salamis
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs ASIL Lysi
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pafos – last 6
DDDLWL
27 Aug
vs Dinamo Tirana
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Red Bull Salzburg
3–3
D
6 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
30 Jul
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–0
W
23 Jul
@ HNK Hajduk Split
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karmiotissa and Pafos.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
On our numbers Karmiotissa have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Pafos 69%.
How many goals will there be in Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
Our predicted score is Karmiotissa 0–2 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Karmiotissa vs Pafos?
Karmiotissa vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Dimotiko Stadio Pano Polemidias.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
