Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Apoel Nicosia to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceApoel Nicosia or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Apoel Nicosia vs AEL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEL travel to face Apoel Nicosia on Sunday 6 September in the 1. Division, with GSP Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Apoel Nicosia are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 9 matches; AEL are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Apoel Nicosia, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to AEK Larnaca, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
AEL, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Anorthosis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AEL, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Apoel Nicosia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Apoel Nicosia 2.0 xG, AEL 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Apoel Nicosia 59%, draw 21%, AEL 20%.
Lower-risk option: Apoel Nicosia or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Apoel Nicosia to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Apoel Nicosia or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apoel Nicosia 1–1 AEL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Apoel Nicosia59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.10
AEL20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.96Apoel Nicosia xG
1.04AEL xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 2.0 – 1.0 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Apoel Nicosia to win✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Apoel Nicosia or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
Apoel Nicosia (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
AEL +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Apoel Nicosia to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Apoel Nicosia ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Apoel Nicosia – last 6
LWDLLL
29 Aug
@ AEK Larnaca
1–3
L
16 Aug
@ Anorthosis
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Kifisia
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
22 May
@ Pafos
0–2
L
6 May
@ Aris
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AEL – last 6
WWDLLW
30 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Krasava Odintsovo
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Anorthosis
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Pafos
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Enosis
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Apoel Nicosia and AEL.
Our pick is Apoel Nicosia or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs AEL?
On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AEL 20%.
How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs AEL?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Apoel Nicosia vs AEL?
Our predicted score is Apoel Nicosia 1–1 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Apoel Nicosia vs AEL?
Apoel Nicosia vs AEL (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
