Nea Salamis v AEK Larnaca: numbers & prediction

Nea Salamis vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nea Salamis welcome AEK Larnaca to Ammochostos Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Sunday 6 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Nea Salamis are 10th, lower half, on 8 points after 9 matches; AEK Larnaca are 1st (leading the league) with 20. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nea Salamis, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Olympiakos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.

AEK Larnaca, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Apoel Nicosia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Nea Salamis, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for AEK Larnaca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nea Salamis 1.7 xG, AEK Larnaca 3.3 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Nea Salamis 15%, draw 20%, AEK Larnaca 66%.
• GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.85.
• Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AEK Larnaca to win (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nea Salamis 1–3 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.