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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Anorthosis v Pafos: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Cyprus · Antonis Papadopoulos
1–3
FT

Pafos

LWDWW
Anorthosis 10%Draw 22%Pafos 68% Expected goals 0.51 – 1.74
68%
Betarazi pick

Pafos to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPafos to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.44

Anorthosis vs Pafos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pafos travel to face Anorthosis on Sunday 11 October in the 1. Division, with Antonis Papadopoulos the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Anorthosis are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 9 matches; Pafos are 6th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Anorthosis, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nea Salamis, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Pafos, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AEL, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pafos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Anorthosis.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Pafos 0–0 Anorthosis.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Anorthosis 0.5 xG, Pafos 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 42%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Anorthosis 10%, draw 22%, Pafos 68%.
  • GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Pafos to win (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anorthosis 0–1 Pafos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Anorthosis10%fair 9.89 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Pafos68%fair 1.48 · @1.50
2.25Expected goals
0.51Anorthosis xG
1.74Pafos xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–216%
0–011%
0–39%
1–19%
1–28%

From our goals model: Anorthosis 0.5 – 1.7 Pafos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPafos to win ✓68%1.481.50
Double chancePafos or draw ✓90%1.111.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.721.85 ▲
Draw no betPafos (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapPafos -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scorePafos to score first ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultPafos ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pafos / FT Pafos ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.44–

Recent results

Anorthosis – last 6

LWLLLD
19 Sep@ Nea Salamis0–3L
12 Sepvs Apoel Nicosia2–1W
5 Sep@ Apollon Limassol1–3L
30 Aug@ AEL0–2L
16 Augvs Apoel Nicosia1–3L
12 Aug@ Nea Salamis2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pafos – last 6

LWDWWD
18 Sepvs AEL0–2L
13 Sep@ AEK Larnaca1–0W
7 Sepvs Olympiakos0–0D
3 Sep@ Omonia Nicosia1–0W
30 Aug@ Karmiotissa3–0W
27 Augvs Dinamo Tirana2–2D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Pafos v Anorthosis0–0
Anorthosis vs Pafos head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anorthosis vs Pafos?

Our pick is Pafos to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Anorthosis vs Pafos?

On our numbers Anorthosis have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pafos 68%.

How many goals will there be in Anorthosis vs Pafos?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Anorthosis vs Pafos?

Our predicted score is Anorthosis 0–1 Pafos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Anorthosis vs Pafos?

Anorthosis vs Pafos (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Antonis Papadopoulos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.