Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Aris to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAris to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceAris or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.04
Olympiakos vs Aris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the 1. Division brings Olympiakos against Aris at GSP Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Olympiakos are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Aris are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Olympiakos, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Omonia Aradippou, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Aris, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Riga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olympiakos 1.0 xG, Aris 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olympiakos 18%, draw 21%, Aris 60%.
Lower-risk option: Aris or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Aris to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aris or draw (82%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympiakos 1–1 Aris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olympiakos18%fair 5.43 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.20
Aris60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.01Olympiakos xG
1.99Aris xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–210%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Olympiakos 1.0 – 2.0 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Aris or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Aris (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Aris -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Aris to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Aris ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris / FT Aris✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Olympiakos – last 6
DDDDWL
20 Sep
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
3–3
D
7 Sep
@ Pafos
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Nea Salamis
3–3
D
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aris – last 6
LDWLDL
3 Oct
vs Riga
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Karmiotissa
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Apollon Limassol
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos and Aris.
Our pick is Aris or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Aris?
On our numbers Olympiakos have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aris 60%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos vs Aris?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos vs Aris?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos 1–1 Aris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos vs Aris?
Olympiakos vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
