Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Botev Ihtiman to win @ 1.92 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotev Ihtiman to win ✗60% · @1.92
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Kyustendil v Botev Ihtiman in the Third League Southwest. In the table, Kyustendil are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Botev Ihtiman are 14th (lower half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kyustendil, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Belasitsa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Botev Ihtiman, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Septemvri Simitli, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyustendil 1.0 xG, Botev Ihtiman 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyustendil 22%, draw 18%, Botev Ihtiman 60%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Botev Ihtiman to win @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyustendil 0–1 Botev Ihtiman. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyustendil22%fair 4.45 · @3.09
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @3.78
Botev Ihtiman60%fair 1.68 · @1.92
2.84Expected goals
0.99Kyustendil xG
1.84Botev Ihtiman xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Kyustendil 1.0 – 1.8 Botev Ihtiman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botev Ihtiman to win✗
60%
1.68
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Botev Ihtiman (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Kyustendil +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.54
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Botev Ihtiman to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Botev Ihtiman ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botev Ihtiman / FT Botev Ihtiman✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Kyustendil – last 6
DDLLLD
24 Oct
vs Belasitsa
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Oborishte
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Bansko
0–3
L
19 Sep
@ FK Minyor Pernik
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Pirin Razlog
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Natsional Sofia
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Botev Ihtiman – last 6
DLLLLW
24 Oct
vs Septemvri Simitli
2–2
D
7 Oct
@ Bansko
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Spartak Plovdiv
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs FK Minyor Pernik
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Pirin Razlog
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Natsional Sofia
3–2
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyustendil and Botev Ihtiman.
What is the prediction for Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
On our numbers Kyustendil have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Botev Ihtiman 60%.
How many goals will there be in Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
Our predicted score is Kyustendil 0–1 Botev Ihtiman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman?
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman (Third League Southwest) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
