FK Minyor Pernik 58%Draw 18%Kostinbrod 24%Expected goals 1.84 – 1.05
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Minyor Pernik to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 28 October the Third League Southwest brings FK Minyor Pernik against Kostinbrod at Stadion Minyor. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, FK Minyor Pernik are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 16 matches; Kostinbrod are 6th (upper half) with 22. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Minyor Pernik, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Slivnishki geroy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Kostinbrod, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Chavdar Etropole, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FK Minyor Pernik, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Kostinbrod.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Minyor Pernik 1.8 xG, Kostinbrod 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Minyor Pernik 58%, draw 18%, Kostinbrod 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Kostinbrod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Minyor Pernik58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
Kostinbrod24%fair 4.20 · @3.81
2.89Expected goals
1.84FK Minyor Pernik xG
1.05Kostinbrod xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: FK Minyor Pernik 1.8 – 1.0 Kostinbrod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Minyor Pernik to win✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
FK Minyor Pernik (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Kostinbrod +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
FK Minyor Pernik to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
FK Minyor Pernik ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Minyor Pernik / FT FK Minyor Pernik✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
FK Minyor Pernik – last 6
DWWWLW
24 Oct
@ Slivnishki geroy
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Septemvri Sofia II
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Levski Sofia II
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Slavia Sofia II
5–1
W
4 Oct
vs Beroe
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Botev Ihtiman
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kostinbrod – last 6
WLLWWL
10 Oct
vs Chavdar Etropole
5–0
W
3 Oct
@ CSKA Sofia III
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Balkan Botevgrad
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Belasitsa
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Slivnishki geroy
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Septemvri Sofia II
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Minyor Pernik and Kostinbrod.
What is the prediction for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
On our numbers FK Minyor Pernik have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kostinbrod 24%.
How many goals will there be in FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
Our predicted score is FK Minyor Pernik 1–1 Kostinbrod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod?
FK Minyor Pernik vs Kostinbrod (Third League Southwest) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Minyor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
