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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heart Of Midlothian v Inverness CT: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Scotland · Tynecastle Park

Heart Of Midlothian

DWLLL
6–2
FT

Inverness CT

DDWWW
Heart Of Midlothian 69%Draw 16%Inverness CT 14% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.58
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.45Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓69% · @1.25
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Inverness CT travel to face Heart Of Midlothian on Sunday 16 August in the League Cup, with Tynecastle Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Heart Of Midlothian, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Benfica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Inverness CT, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arbroath, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Inverness CT, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 xG, Inverness CT 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heart Of Midlothian 69%, draw 16%, Inverness CT 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Inverness CT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heart Of Midlothian69%fair 1.44 · @1.25
Draw16%fair 6.12 · @5.40
Inverness CT14%fair 7.00 · @8.25
2.37Expected goals
1.79Heart Of Midlothian xG
0.58Inverness CT xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 – 0.6 Inverness CT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHeart Of Midlothian to win ✓69%1.441.25
Double chanceHeart Of Midlothian or draw ✓86%1.171.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.65
Draw no betHeart Of Midlothian (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapHeart Of Midlothian -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.002.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
First team to scoreHeart Of Midlothian to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultHeart Of Midlothian ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heart Of Midlothian / FT Heart Of Midlothian ✓42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.00–

Recent results

Heart Of Midlothian – last 6

DWLLLW
13 Augvs Benfica1–1D
9 Augvs Dundee Utd4–0W
6 Aug@ Benfica1–6L
1 Aug@ Aberdeen1–2L
28 Julvs Sturm Graz0–2L
24 Jul@ Raith Rovers1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Inverness CT – last 6

DDWWWD
8 Aug@ Arbroath0–0D
1 Augvs Dunfermline0–0D
25 Jul@ Morton1–0W
21 Julvs ST Johnstone1–0W
18 Jul@ Linlithgow Rose2–0W
11 Julvs East Fife1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and Inverness CT.

Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

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FT Hibernian1 Partick0 168%1.44X21%4.20212%6.25 2.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.22 ✗
FT Stenhousemuir0 Motherwell0 AET 1–0 114%9.00X17%5.00269%1.28 0.8–2.1xG 2Motherwell to win 69%@1.28 ✗
FT Rangers5 ST Mirren1 167%1.33X18%4.60214%7.40 2.5–1.1xG 1Rangers to win 67%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT?

On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Inverness CT 14%.

How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT?

Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Inverness CT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT?

Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT (League Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.