Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the League Cup brings Stenhousemuir against Motherwell at Ochilview Park. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Stenhousemuir, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Morton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Motherwell, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HJK Helsinki, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 0.8 xG, Motherwell 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 14%, draw 17%, Motherwell 69%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Motherwell to win (69%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 0–2 Motherwell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stenhousemuir14%fair 7.18 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @5.00
Motherwell69%fair 1.45 · @1.28
2.95Expected goals
0.81Stenhousemuir xG
2.14Motherwell xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 0.8 – 2.1 Motherwell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✗
69%
1.45
1.28
Double chance
Motherwell or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Motherwell (draw no bet)
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Motherwell -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Motherwell to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Motherwell ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Stenhousemuir – last 6
WDDDWW
8 Aug
vs Morton
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Livingston
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Forfar Athletic
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motherwell – last 6
WDDWWW
13 Aug
vs HJK Helsinki
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Falkirk
0–0
D
6 Aug
@ HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Hibernian
2–1
W
30 Jul
@ HB Torshavn
3–0
W
23 Jul
vs HB Torshavn
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Motherwell.
What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Our pick is Motherwell to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Motherwell 69%.
How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 0–2 Motherwell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell?
Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell (League Cup) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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