Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLille to win ✗52% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Hamburger SV vs Lille: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hamburger SV welcome Lille for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 8 August (14:00 WAT).
Current form
Hamburger SV, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Everton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lille, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 6–3 win over OH Leuven, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Lille, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Hamburger SV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV 1.6 xG, Lille 2.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV 27%, draw 21%, Lille 52%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV 1–2 Lille. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV27%fair 3.75 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
Lille52%fair 1.91 · @1.83
3.72Expected goals
1.61Hamburger SV xG
2.11Lille xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.6 – 2.1 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hamburger SV
Lille
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+8%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.64
1.90
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Hamburger SV +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
First team to score
Lille to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Hamburger SV – last 6
LLWLLD
1 Aug
vs Everton
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Rapid Vienna
2–3
L
10 May
vs SC Freiburg
3–2
W
4 Mar
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs RB Leipzig
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ FSV Mainz 05
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
WWLDWL
1 Aug
@ OH Leuven
6–3
W
18 Jul
vs RAAL La Louvière
3–0
W
17 May
vs Auxerre
0–2
L
3 May
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Marseille
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and Lille.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs Lille?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lille 52%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs Lille?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–2 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs Lille?
Hamburger SV vs Lille (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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