Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60% · fair 1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Cittadella vs Luparense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Cittadella v Luparense in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Cittadella, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Padova, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Luparense, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Este, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.3 xG, Luparense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 58%, draw 25%, Luparense 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–0 Luparense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella58%fair 1.74 · @1.36
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @4.20
Luparense17%fair 5.91 · @7.00
2.01Expected goals
1.30Cittadella xG
0.72Luparense xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–013%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.3 – 0.7 Luparense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cittadella
Luparense
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-17%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-3%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.74
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
58%
1.74
1.36
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Cittadella (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Luparense +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cittadella to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.77
–
Recent results
Cittadella – last 6
LDWDWW
1 Aug
vs Padova
0–2
L
29 Jul
@ Cremonese
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Torino
1–0
W
13 May
@ Ravenna
1–1
D
6 May
vs Lumezzane
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Novara
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Luparense – last 6
LWDDWD
3 May
@ Este
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Vigasio
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Conegliano
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ FC Obermais
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Treviso
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Altavilla
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Luparense.
What is the prediction for Cittadella vs Luparense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Cittadella vs Luparense?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Luparense 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Luparense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Luparense?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Luparense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Luparense?
Cittadella vs Luparense (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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