Chaves II 30%Draw 23%Rebordosa 47%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.36
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Rebordosa to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRebordosa to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.93
Chaves II vs Rebordosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 23 August: Chaves II v Rebordosa in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A. In the table, Chaves II are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Rebordosa are 9th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chaves II, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Os Limianos, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Rebordosa, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tirsense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chaves II 1.0 xG, Rebordosa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chaves II 30%, draw 23%, Rebordosa 47%.
Price worth noting: Rebordosa to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chaves II 1–1 Rebordosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chaves II30%fair 3.32 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Rebordosa47%fair 2.15 · @2.45
2.38Expected goals
1.02Chaves II xG
1.36Rebordosa xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Chaves II 1.0 – 1.4 Rebordosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
47%
2.15
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Rebordosa (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Chaves II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Rebordosa to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.93
–
Recent results
Chaves II – last 6
LWLWLD
16 Aug
@ Os Limianos
1–3
L
22 Mar
@ Monção
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mirandela
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Celoricense
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Vilaverdense
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rebordosa – last 6
LLWDLW
16 Aug
vs Tirsense
0–1
L
31 May
@ Vianense
0–2
L
22 May
vs Leça
2–1
W
17 May
vs Bragança
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Vila Meã
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Aparecida
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chaves II and Rebordosa.
What is the prediction for Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
On our numbers Chaves II have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rebordosa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Our predicted score is Chaves II 1–1 Rebordosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chaves II vs Rebordosa?
Chaves II vs Rebordosa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
