Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +65%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗52% · @3.20
Double chanceTirsense or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Tirsense vs Vinhais: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tirsense welcome Vinhais to Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A fixture on Sunday 23 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Tirsense are 4th, among the top four, on 15 points after 8 matches; Vinhais are 14th (in the drop zone) with 0. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tirsense, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rebordosa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tirsense 0.9 xG, Vinhais 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tirsense 30%, draw 52%, Vinhais 19%.
Lower-risk option: Tirsense or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tirsense or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tirsense 0–0 Vinhais. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tirsense30%fair 3.38 · @2.05
Draw52%fair 1.93 · @3.20
Vinhais19%fair 5.35 · @3.20
1.66Expected goals
0.93Tirsense xG
0.73Vinhais xG
37%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–019%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tirsense 0.9 – 0.7 Vinhais expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
52%
1.93
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Tirsense or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Draw no bet
Tirsense (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Vinhais +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Tirsense to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
19%
5.27
–
Recent results
Tirsense – last 6
WLWWDW
16 Aug
@ Rebordosa
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs Varzim
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Mirandela
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Ribeira Brava
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Celoricense
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Vilaverdense
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Vinhais – last 1
L
16 Aug
vs Maria da Fonte
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tirsense and Vinhais.
Our pick is Tirsense or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tirsense vs Vinhais?
On our numbers Tirsense have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Vinhais 19%.
How many goals will there be in Tirsense vs Vinhais?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tirsense vs Vinhais?
Our predicted score is Tirsense 0–0 Vinhais, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Tirsense vs Vinhais?
Tirsense vs Vinhais (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
