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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Beira-Mar v Machico: numbers & prediction

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B · Portugal

Beira-Mar

DWDLD
0–2
FT

Machico

DDWLW
Beira-Mar 56%Draw 22%Machico 22% Expected goals 1.13 – 0.51
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Beira-Mar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBeira-Mar to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceBeira-Mar or draw ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.58

Beira-Mar vs Machico: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Beira-Mar welcome Machico for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 23 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Beira-Mar are 9th, lower half, on 7 points after 8 matches; Machico are 2nd (among the top four) with 16.

Current form

Beira-Mar, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sanjoanense, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Machico, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Estrela Calheta, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Machico, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Beira-Mar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Beira-Mar 1.1 xG, Machico 0.5 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Beira-Mar 56%, draw 22%, Machico 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Beira-Mar or draw (78%) at 1.18.
  • Price worth noting: Beira-Mar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beira-Mar 1–0 Machico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Beira-Mar56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @2.95
Machico22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
1.64Expected goals
1.13Beira-Mar xG
0.51Machico xG
35%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
0–019%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%

From our goals model: Beira-Mar 1.1 – 0.5 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeira-Mar to win ✗56%1.791.95 ▲
Double chanceBeira-Mar or draw ✗78%1.281.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓65%1.53–
Draw no betBeira-Mar (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapMachico +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗51%1.96–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.461.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBeira-Mar to score first ✗55%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beira-Mar / FT Beira-Mar ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.58–

Recent results

Beira-Mar – last 6

DWDLDL
16 Aug@ Sanjoanense1–1D
25 Jul@ Tondela2–1W
22 Marvs Cinfães1–1D
15 Mar@ Florgrade0–1L
8 Marvs Leça1–1D
1 Mar@ Vila Real1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Machico – last 6

DDWLWW
15 Augvs Estrela Calheta0–0D
25 Jul@ Maritimo0–0D
8 Aprvs Vilaverdense1–0W
22 Mar@ Camacha1–2L
15 Marvs Bragança2–0W
8 Marvs Brito1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Beira-Mar and Machico.

Beira-Mar vs Machico head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

League hub
FT Alpendorada1 Camacha2 149%2.15X23%3.10228%3.10 1.1–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.57 ✗
FT Salgueiros1 Sanjoanense1 139%2.30X23%3.10238%2.75 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Beira-Mar vs Machico?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Beira-Mar vs Machico?

On our numbers Beira-Mar have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Machico 22%.

How many goals will there be in Beira-Mar vs Machico?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Beira-Mar vs Machico?

Our predicted score is Beira-Mar 1–0 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Beira-Mar vs Machico?

Beira-Mar vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.