Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlpendorada to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Alpendorada vs Camacha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Camacha travel to face Alpendorada on Sunday 23 August in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, with Municipal Stadium Alpendorada the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Alpendorada are 12th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Camacha are 3rd (among the top four) with 15.
Current form
Alpendorada, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guarda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Camacha, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salgueiros, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alpendorada, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Camacha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alpendorada 1.1 xG, Camacha 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alpendorada 49%, draw 23%, Camacha 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alpendorada 1–0 Camacha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alpendorada49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Camacha28%fair 3.58 · @3.10
1.89Expected goals
1.15Alpendorada xG
0.75Camacha xG
40%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alpendorada 1.1 – 0.7 Camacha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alpendorada to win✗
49%
2.04
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Alpendorada (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Camacha +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Alpendorada to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alpendorada / FT Alpendorada✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Recent results
Alpendorada – last 6
WWWLWD
16 Aug
@ Guarda
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Anadia
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Gouveia
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ União Lamas
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Vila Meã
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Cinfães
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Camacha – last 6
DLLWLW
16 Aug
vs Salgueiros
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Maritimo
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Bragança
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Machico
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Brito
2–4
L
8 Mar
vs AR São Martinho
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alpendorada and Camacha.
What is the prediction for Alpendorada vs Camacha?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alpendorada vs Camacha?
On our numbers Alpendorada have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Camacha 28%.
How many goals will there be in Alpendorada vs Camacha?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alpendorada vs Camacha?
Our predicted score is Alpendorada 1–0 Camacha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alpendorada vs Camacha?
Alpendorada vs Camacha (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Stadium Alpendorada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
