Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSalgueiros to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salgueiros travel to face Castro Daire on Sunday 11 October in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Castro Daire are 4th, among the top four, on 13 points after 8 matches; Salgueiros are 6th (upper half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Castro Daire, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Estrela Calheta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Salgueiros, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Feirense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salgueiros, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Castro Daire.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castro Daire 1.0 xG, Salgueiros 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castro Daire 38%, draw 23%, Salgueiros 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castro Daire 1–1 Salgueiros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castro Daire38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Salgueiros39%fair 2.59 · @2.70
2.08Expected goals
1.04Castro Daire xG
1.04Salgueiros xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Castro Daire 1.0 – 1.0 Salgueiros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salgueiros to win✗
39%
2.59
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Salgueiros (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Castro Daire +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Salgueiros to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.69
–
Recent results
Castro Daire – last 5
WLDWL
4 Oct
vs Estrela Calheta
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Portimonense
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Beira-Mar
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Sousense
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Ovarense
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Salgueiros – last 6
WWDWDD
19 Sep
vs Feirense
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Cinfães
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Machico
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Sousense
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sanjoanense
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Camacha
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castro Daire and Salgueiros.
What is the prediction for Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
On our numbers Castro Daire have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salgueiros 39%.
How many goals will there be in Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Our predicted score is Castro Daire 1–1 Salgueiros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Castro Daire vs Salgueiros?
Castro Daire vs Salgueiros (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
