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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cinfães v Alpendorada: numbers & prediction

0–0
FT
Cinfães 48%Draw 23%Alpendorada 29% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.06
56%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.78 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultCinfães to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.58

Cinfães vs Alpendorada: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cinfães welcome Alpendorada for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 11 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Cinfães are 10th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Alpendorada are 12th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cinfães, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estrela Calheta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Alpendorada, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mação, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Alpendorada 0–0 Cinfães.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cinfães 1.5 xG, Alpendorada 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cinfães 48%, draw 23%, Alpendorada 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cinfães 1–1 Alpendorada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cinfães48%fair 2.07 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Alpendorada29%fair 3.46 · @3.40
2.54Expected goals
1.47Cinfães xG
1.06Alpendorada xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Cinfães 1.5 – 1.1 Alpendorada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCinfães to win ✗48%2.072.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betCinfães (draw no bet)63%1.60–
Asian handicapAlpendorada +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreCinfães to score first ✗53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cinfães / FT Cinfães ✗28%3.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.58–

Recent results

Cinfães – last 6

DLLDWW
27 Sep@ Estrela Calheta2–2D
20 Sepvs Leixoes0–4L
13 Sep@ Salgueiros0–1L
6 Sepvs Beira-Mar2–2D
30 Augvs Espinho1–0W
16 Augvs Sousense2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Alpendorada – last 6

WLLDLW
20 Sepvs Mação3–0W
13 Sepvs Machico1–2L
6 Sep@ Sanjoanense1–3L
30 Aug@ Rebordosa1–1D
23 Augvs Camacha1–2L
16 Aug@ Guarda1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Alpendorada v Cinfães0–0
Cinfães vs Alpendorada head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cinfães vs Alpendorada?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Cinfães vs Alpendorada?

On our numbers Cinfães have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alpendorada 29%.

How many goals will there be in Cinfães vs Alpendorada?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cinfães vs Alpendorada?

Our predicted score is Cinfães 1–1 Alpendorada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cinfães vs Alpendorada?

Cinfães vs Alpendorada (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.