Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmora to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceAmora or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Amora vs Lagoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Amora v Lagoa in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D, played at Medideira Stadium.
Current form
Amora, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lajense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lagoa, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Atlético CP, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amora 1.6 xG, Lagoa 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 58% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amora 64%, draw 23%, Lagoa 13%.
Lower-risk option: Amora or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amora to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amora 1–0 Lagoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amora64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
Lagoa13%fair 7.46 · @4.00
2.16Expected goals
1.60Amora xG
0.56Lagoa xG
41%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Amora 1.6 – 0.6 Lagoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amora to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Amora or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Amora (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Amora -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Amora to score first
66%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amora / FT Amora✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Recent results
Amora – last 6
WLDLWD
27 Sep
vs Lajense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs UD da Serra
3–4
L
13 Sep
@ 1º Dezembro
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Real
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Vitoria Setubal
3–1
W
1 May
@ SC Covilha
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lagoa – last 6
LDWLDD
19 Sep
@ Atlético CP
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs FC Serpa
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara B
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Imortal Albufeira
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Aljustrelense
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Atlético Malveira
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amora and Lagoa.
Our pick is Amora to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Amora vs Lagoa?
On our numbers Amora have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lagoa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Amora vs Lagoa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amora vs Lagoa?
Our predicted score is Amora 1–0 Lagoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Amora vs Lagoa?
Amora vs Lagoa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Medideira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lajense0
1º Dezembro1
FC Serpa2
Sintrense0