Lajense 44%Draw 24%1º Dezembro 32%Expected goals 1.80 – 1.49
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Lajense to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLajense to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Lajense vs 1º Dezembro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
1º Dezembro travel to face Lajense on Sunday 11 October in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Lajense, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juventude Évora, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
1º Dezembro, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Amora, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lajense 1.8 xG, 1º Dezembro 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lajense 44%, draw 24%, 1º Dezembro 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Lajense to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lajense 1–1 1º Dezembro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lajense44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.88
1º Dezembro32%fair 3.16 · @2.50
3.29Expected goals
1.80Lajense xG
1.491º Dezembro xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Lajense 1.8 – 1.5 1º Dezembro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lajense to win✗
44%
2.26
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Lajense (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
1º Dezembro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Lajense to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lajense / FT Lajense✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.14
–
Recent results
Lajense – last 6
WLLDLL
4 Oct
vs Juventude Évora
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Amora
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Fafe
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ Real
5–5
D
6 Sep
vs Vitoria Setubal
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Naval 1893
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
1º Dezembro – last 6
DDLLLL
13 Sep
vs Amora
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ FC Serpa
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Real
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Imortal Albufeira
0–5
L
19 Apr
vs Amora
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Atlético CP
1–5
L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lajense and 1º Dezembro.
What is the prediction for Lajense vs 1º Dezembro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lajense vs 1º Dezembro?
On our numbers Lajense have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 1º Dezembro 32%.
How many goals will there be in Lajense vs 1º Dezembro?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lajense vs 1º Dezembro?
Our predicted score is Lajense 1–1 1º Dezembro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lajense vs 1º Dezembro?
Lajense vs 1º Dezembro (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group D) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amora1
Lagoa1
FC Serpa2
Sintrense0