Santos welcome Macara to Estádio Urbano Caldeira for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Thursday 13 August (23:00 WAT). In the table, Santos are 2nd on 7 points after 6 matches; Macara are 1st with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santos, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Paranaense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Macara, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Barcelona SC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santos 2.0 xG, Macara 0.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santos 70%, draw 20%, Macara 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santos 2–0 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santos70%fair 1.43 · @1.38
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.40
Macara10%fair 10.21 · @8.70
2.61Expected goals
2.01Santos xG
0.61Macara xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos 2.0 – 0.6 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Double chance
Santos or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Draw no bet
Santos (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Santos -1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Santos to score first
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Santos ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Santos – last 6
LWDWDW
9 Aug
vs Atletico Paranaense
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Remo
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Remo
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs UCV
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–2
D
22 Jul
@ UCV
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
WWDWWL
9 Aug
@ Barcelona SC
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Gualaceo SC
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Aucas
4–1
W
22 Jul
vs Deportivo Cuenca
3–0
W
18 Jul
@ Delfin SC
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and Macara.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Santos vs Macara?
On our numbers Santos have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Macara 10%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs Macara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Santos 2–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs Macara?
Santos vs Macara (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vasco DA Gama0
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