Value bet: Vasco DA Gama to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVasco DA Gama to win ✗64% · @1.69
Double chanceVasco DA Gama or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 13 August: Vasco DA Gama v Olimpia in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estádio São Januário. In the table, Vasco DA Gama are 2nd on 10 points after 6 matches; Olimpia are 1st with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bahia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Olimpia, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to 2 de Mayo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vasco DA Gama, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Olimpia.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Olimpia 3–1 Vasco DA Gama. The last 2 head-to-heads: Vasco DA Gama 1 win, Olimpia 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vasco DA Gama 1.9 xG, Olimpia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vasco DA Gama 64%, draw 23%, Olimpia 13%.
Lower-risk option: Vasco DA Gama or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Vasco DA Gama to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Olimpia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vasco DA Gama64%fair 1.56 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Olimpia13%fair 7.80 · @4.70
2.63Expected goals
1.90Vasco DA Gama xG
0.74Olimpia xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.9 – 0.7 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Olimpia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio São Januário.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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