Bom Jesus EC 58%Draw 25%Goiânia 17%Expected goals 1.39 – 0.59
83%
Betarazi pick
Bom Jesus EC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bom Jesus EC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBom Jesus EC to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceBom Jesus EC or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.22
Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Goiânia travel to face Bom Jesus EC on Sunday 20 September in the Goiano 2 – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Bom Jesus EC are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Goiânia are 6th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Bom Jesus EC, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tupy FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Goiânia, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rio Verde, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bom Jesus EC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Goiânia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Goiânia 0–1 Bom Jesus EC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bom Jesus EC 1.4 xG, Goiânia 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bom Jesus EC 58%, draw 25%, Goiânia 17%.
Lower-risk option: Bom Jesus EC or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Bom Jesus EC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bom Jesus EC or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bom Jesus EC 1–0 Goiânia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bom Jesus EC58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Goiânia17%fair 5.74 · @3.70
1.98Expected goals
1.39Bom Jesus EC xG
0.59Goiânia xG
41%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bom Jesus EC 1.4 – 0.6 Goiânia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia?
Our pick is Bom Jesus EC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia?
On our numbers Bom Jesus EC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Goiânia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia?
Our predicted score is Bom Jesus EC 1–0 Goiânia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia?
Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia (Goiano 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
