Bom Jesus EC 65%Draw 20%Morrinhos 15%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.65
65%
Betarazi pick
Bom Jesus EC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBom Jesus EC to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceBom Jesus EC or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bom Jesus EC welcome Morrinhos for a Goiano 2 fixture on Wednesday 7 October (19:30 WAT). In the table, Bom Jesus EC are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 18 matches; Morrinhos are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Bom Jesus EC, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Trindade, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Morrinhos, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Mineiros, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Jul 2026) it ended Morrinhos 1–2 Bom Jesus EC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bom Jesus EC 1.7 xG, Morrinhos 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 41%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bom Jesus EC 65%, draw 20%, Morrinhos 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bom Jesus EC to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bom Jesus EC 1–0 Morrinhos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bom Jesus EC65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
Morrinhos15%fair 6.78 · @4.33
2.40Expected goals
1.75Bom Jesus EC xG
0.65Morrinhos xG
41%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Bom Jesus EC 1.7 – 0.7 Morrinhos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos?
Our pick is Bom Jesus EC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos?
On our numbers Bom Jesus EC have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morrinhos 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos?
Our predicted score is Bom Jesus EC 1–0 Morrinhos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos?
Bom Jesus EC vs Morrinhos (Goiano 2) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
