Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Omiya Ardija v Ventforet Kofu in the J2 League, played at NACK5 Stadium Omiya. In the table, Omiya Ardija are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Ventforet Kofu are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Omiya Ardija, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fujieda MYFC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ventforet Kofu, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kashima, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Omiya Ardija 1–2 Ventforet Kofu. The last 2 head-to-heads: Omiya Ardija 0 wins, Ventforet Kofu 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Omiya Ardija 1.8 xG, Ventforet Kofu 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Omiya Ardija 61%, draw 21%, Ventforet Kofu 18%.
Lower-risk option: Omiya Ardija or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Omiya Ardija 2–0 Ventforet Kofu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Omiya Ardija61%fair 1.63 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.90
Ventforet Kofu18%fair 5.59 · @5.25
2.58Expected goals
1.77Omiya Ardija xG
0.81Ventforet Kofu xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.8 – 0.8 Ventforet Kofu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ventforet Kofu 18%.
How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 2–0 Ventforet Kofu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu?
Omiya Ardija vs Ventforet Kofu (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
