Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Kataller Toyama to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKataller Toyama to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceKataller Toyama or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
08:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Ventforet Kofu v Kataller Toyama in the J2 League, played at Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium. In the table, Ventforet Kofu are 20th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Kataller Toyama are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ventforet Kofu, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Omiya Ardija, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Kataller Toyama, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Urawa, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kataller Toyama, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Ventforet Kofu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ventforet Kofu 0.9 xG, Kataller Toyama 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ventforet Kofu 16%, draw 22%, Kataller Toyama 62%.
Lower-risk option: Kataller Toyama or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Kataller Toyama to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kataller Toyama or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Kataller Toyama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ventforet Kofu16%fair 6.42 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Kataller Toyama62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
2.81Expected goals
0.87Ventforet Kofu xG
1.94Kataller Toyama xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Ventforet Kofu 0.9 – 1.9 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kataller Toyama to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Kataller Toyama or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Kataller Toyama (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Kataller Toyama -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Kataller Toyama to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Kataller Toyama ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Ventforet Kofu – last 6
LLLLWL
26 Sep
@ Omiya Ardija
1–5
L
23 Sep
@ Kashima
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Osaka
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kataller Toyama – last 6
LDWDWW
29 Sep
vs Urawa
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Yokohama FC
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Montedio Yamagata
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Tochigi City
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Jubilo Iwata
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ventforet Kofu and Kataller Toyama.
What is the prediction for Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our pick is Kataller Toyama or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
On our numbers Ventforet Kofu have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kataller Toyama 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Our predicted score is Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama?
Ventforet Kofu vs Kataller Toyama (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
